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To: etcb

An update from http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/news/3418598/posts?page=198#198 from 9Apr2016

Trump has: (was 743) now 846

Cruz has his own: (517) now 563

If Cruz gets all of Kasich and Rubio, then Kasich’s: 143
Plus Rubio’s: 172
Cruz total: (was 832) now 878

Let’s say Trump takes a larger share of those totals.
+ 65% Kasich’s: 143 x .65 = 93
+ 60% Rubio’s: 60% x 172 = 103

Cruz total: 563 + 93 + 103 = 759
Trump Total: (if the remainder) 846 +50 +69 = 965

Another iteration:
Let’s say Cruz takes a larger share of those totals.
+ 85% Kasich’s: 143 x 85% = 121
+ 85% Rubio’s: 85% x 172 = 146

Cruz total: 563 + 121 + 146 = 830
Trump Total: (if the remainder) 846 + 22 + 26 = 894

Split has gotten wider.
Let’s say Cruz gets 95% of those votes.
+ 95% Kasich’s: 143 x 95% = 136
+ 95% Rubio’s: 95% x 172 = 163

Cruz total: 563 + 136 + 163 = 862
Trump Total: (if the remainder) 846 + 7 + 9 = 862

Looks like Cruz will need to take at least 95% of the released delegates if they split the remaining state delegates.

Unless Trump does something which is fundamentally opposed to conservative values, I don’t see Cruz picking up those percentages. I suspect Cruz and Trump numbers will come in around 40%-60%.

Ergo, even with split popular votes, the delegates will most likely still tally for Trump.

So what’s with the recent campaign to attack those who seek to win delegates? That’s the system and the system is still working.


579 posted on 04/23/2016 8:52:25 PM PDT by Cvengr ( Adversity in life & death is inevitable; Stress is optional through faith in Christ.)
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To: Cvengr
So what’s with the recent campaign to attack those who seek to win delegates? That’s the system and the system is still working.

If you can get a logical answer to that question, I would sure be interested in hearing it.

The process is not just to arrive at a nominee, it is also designed to allow the healing process to begin. Especially with the number of candidates this election and the personal nature of the campaigns, healing the hurt feeling and uniting for the real battle upcoming is vital. Cheer leading and a my way or the highway approach might feel good but you don't win a general election by excluding a good part of your base.

585 posted on 04/23/2016 9:14:58 PM PDT by etcb
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