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To: GilGil

As a recently retired professional, I do not have a prediction for November. I doubt that any professional has a prediction worthy of trust.

The polling results suggest that Trump will get stomped. The polling results are based on historical data interpreted through current polls.

If the historical data do not apply to this election, then we have no idea what today’s polls mean - particularly turnout. If Trump supporters show up in November, this will be a record year.

If the Trump excitement fades over the next six months, then the historical data are meaningful, and we will have to pray for survival under the Hillary regime. Hillary is far more energetic and power hungry than Obama, and she could be more dangerous even if she is slightly less evil.

Which will it be: a blowout in one direction or in the other? The big decider will be the Trump supporters with enthusiasm.
- Will the FR Trump supporters man the phones (will Trump even have phones?).
- Will the FR Trump supporters drive people to the polls (will Trump even have get-out-the-vote?).
- Will the FR Trump supporters help register patriotic voters (will Trump even have a registration drive?).
- Will the FR Trump supporters send letters to the editor, post comments on every online news site, and talk to friends and neighbors?
- Or will they decide they have defeated the real enemy, now that Cruz is eliminated, and go back to their regular business?


12 posted on 04/21/2016 5:55:33 PM PDT by Pollster1 (Somebody who agrees with me 80% of the time is a friend and ally, not a 20% traitor. - Ronald Reagan)
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To: Pollster1

’ Will the FR Trump supporters man the phones (will Trump even have phones?).’

Mr. Trump has a very sophisticated national telephone program that is set up and running. I know as I am part of it.
It is surprising that you are not aware of it.
TWB


16 posted on 04/21/2016 6:12:13 PM PDT by TWhiteBear (i)
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