But...I did ask you in my initial post for the factual basis for your comment:
And that's based on ....what, exactly?
And your only response was that you lived in New York. But so do more than 20 million other people, all with their own opinion as to who would win that matchup. I've pointed to hard facts -- actual numbers of votes cast, as well as exit polls.
If you've got any evidence that half of Bernie's support will got to Trump, I'd love to hear it.
Meh, that’s not an honest inquiry when it’s buried in a bunch of poorly-founded assertions.
There’s a whole host of reasons why Trump could very well beat Hillary in NY, and I’ll rattle off a few:
- NY does vote for Republicans of the non-social-crusader type, of which Trump is. See Pataki and D’Amato, both of whom were elected more than once.
- NY’s perverse election laws made it so any Dems who wanted to vote Trump had to switch parties way back in October, as did any independents who wanted to vote for either Trump or Sanders.
- Trump is a cultural institution in NY, which Clinton is an obvious carpetbagger.
- Trump’s less anti-American foreign and trade policies have a lot of appeal to Democrat anti-Hillary voters
- The GOP primary was known well ahead of time to be completely non-competitive, which dramatically depresses turnout, while the opposite was true on the Dem side.
- Trump spent almost no money in the state, less than any other candidate on the ballot, and still not only pulled out a landslide victory, he exceeded expectations in the process.
- Independents get to vote in a general election.
- Clinton’s favorability numbers are at historic lows, and with 100% name recognition and a long public record she has little chance to improve them. People really don’t like her, and the longer they are exposed to her, the more they don’t like her.
- The FBI is likely to recommend prosecution of Clinton.
I could add more but this is plenty enough to form a solid basis for considering NY to be a battleground state come November.