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To: editor-surveyor
Cruz has sewed up the second ballot, and the primary is not even over, no convention dickering will be needed.

Delusions of grandeur, but let's just take your thinking out a bit:

The math: Trump, if he doesn't go over the top in the first ballot, will likely be less than a hundred delegates short, likely around 50 or less.

Cruz, will have somewhere between 800 and 900 delegates going in, likely closer to 800. That's if the next two weeks go as forecast, and these states are actual votes that the pollsters have been pretty good at.

Okay, so with that math going in, how does Cruz ever win? Answer: Two ways.
1. He is so well liked, and so compelling, he finally pulls the GOP together and they all go kumbayah and vote him over the top.
2. He cuts a deal with the GOP elites, they pull out all the stops, ram him through, and have a newly minted, newly bought candidate.

So.....since we all know #1 will never happen, the math alone should give you a hint (along with his not so likable personality), that means the only way he wins is with scenario #2.

If he does that, and it will be clear if he does that to win, it will be known, it will be obvious, and it will put a fissure in the party that will blow it out of the water worse than the Whigs were.

If that happens, say goodbye to your ass as it flies further away from you. If that happens Ted Cruz will be hated on the right, by members of the right for a generation or more.

I realize you can't see this, and thankfully it looks like Trump WILL get the delegates to go over the top on the first ballot.

If he doesn't stop after this next two weeks when he is mathematically eliminated, good luck getting Cruz elected to dog catcher after this run.

400 posted on 04/14/2016 12:12:36 AM PDT by Lakeshark (One time Cruz supporter who now prefers Trump. Yes, there are good reasons.)
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To: Lakeshark

.
You’re obviously not an election guy.

I don’t even know where to start explaining it to you.
.


456 posted on 04/14/2016 10:10:36 AM PDT by editor-surveyor (Freepers: Not as smart as I'd hoped they'd be)
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To: Lakeshark

Outside of the fact that I believe that you are giving Ted far too many delegates, by July, the rest of your post is spot on...with one caveat; Trump is probably going to have at least the 1237 delegates. Should my count for Trump; be somewhat off, the total will be closer to the 1237 than you’ve guessed. :-)


484 posted on 04/14/2016 1:28:23 PM PDT by nopardons
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