Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: lodi90

“Too bad your boy Cruz is scared to campaign in NY. You can’t win if you don’t campaign.”
________________

Not “scared”, just smart! Cruz is playing the long game...Cruz knows that NY is lost; he’ll play in a few NY congressional districts and hope to pick up some delegates...he realizes Trump is strong in the Northeast and will pick up a good chunk of delegates in the next two weeks...but not enough for a 1st ballot win!

The coming weeks are more about building for more favorable destinations like IN and the remaining Western states! This will be more fertile ground for Cruz. It all comes down to delegate math...to keep Trump below 1,237. Trump is screaming now about the delegate process because he knows that he screwed up by not paying attention to this sooner. But, that’s the whole game and Cruz has superior ground forces in place in most of these upcoming states!

Personally, I think that Trump will likely eke out a first ballot win, but just barely. That said, it is still very difficult for Trump at this point. I envision a scenario where Cruz can actually cobble together a 1,237 majority on the first ballot by combining his bound delegates (probably 750-800) with most of the 350-400 delegates won by Rubio & Kasich, plus most of the 150-200 “unbound” party-loyal delegates from around the country...


38 posted on 04/13/2016 5:34:40 AM PDT by HoosierWordsmith
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 3 | View Replies ]


To: HoosierWordsmith

Not “scared”, just smart! Cruz is playing the long game...Cruz knows that NY is lost; he’ll play in a few NY congressional districts and hope to pick up some delegates...he realizes Trump is strong in the Northeast and will pick up a good chunk of delegates in the next two weeks...but not enough for a 1st ballot win!


I’m sure Cruz can’t wait to get out west and start dumping on NY again. He sure is a big talker but how sad he can’t face the music with NY & northeast voters. Typical politician.

The fact is Cruz’s “Only I can beat Hillary” credibility is destroyed with a bunch of 3rd place finishes behind no hope, no money Kasich. Once that happens he is a spoiler anti-Trump candidate and no more.


44 posted on 04/13/2016 5:50:14 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 38 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson