“I don’t think the polls showing Sanders or Clinton winning are correct. As I’ve posted before, the general election is too far away for most people to know who they want. I know we have to do these polls but I don’t trust them.”
I’ve heard that argument, the polls are wrong, for many years. It usually leads to big disappointments when the votes come rolling in. And, yes, I know Reagan was polling behind Carter. How many other times were the polls right?
I might be more suspicious of the polling results except that it’s poll after poll after poll. Go to RealClearPolitics and look at the results. The general election results are consistent with the likeability ratings. The more people dislike a candidate, the worse the polls. It’s fairly rare when people vote for candidates they dislike.
I haven’t really done a study of which polls at this point in the campaign of one party’s possible candidates against the other party’s possible candidate are right or wrong. Because of the volatile Hillary situation, and because Sanders is gaining ground, and because the money shenanigans are just now being revealed, I feel the whole situation is too volatile for this particular kind of poll to have any meaning.
Not to mention that fact that polls are designed to sway voter opinion, depending on which side the pollster is on. Very few are completely honest and unbiased. But we know that.