“The real takeaway here is just how many Trumpers say theyre willing to stick with the party this fall even if Trump gets shafted in Cleveland. I never would have guessed its as high as 66 percent.”
It’s not. This poll is bogus nonsense.
How so, if you look at the poll it is very bad for the republicans should they decide to go Cruz alone.
In 2012 the Dems got 65.9 million, the republicans got 61 million.
Right now Trump Is getting 31~32 percent of the traditional republican votes, plus just under 10 percent (~8 to 9) of the regular republican votes added in non traditional republicans votes.
Assuming that there are no republicans fallouts you get a pool of around 66 to 67 million volts, just what they need to win.
If you lose ~15 percent of Trumps 32 percent regular voters (.32 x 61 million x.15 = 2.9 million votes lost) plus 85 percent of the non traditional voters he brought in (.85 x6 million = 5.1 million) you get a republican total of 58 to 59 millon voters.
Where is the republican party going to get these votes....they are not.
But If trump wins, he will loos a lot of die-hard Cruz voters. So Trump needs Cruz.
only possible victory at this point is Trump Cruz 2016