Posted on 04/08/2016 5:01:34 PM PDT by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
National front-runners Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton are favored to win in Pennsylvania later this month, but both have just single-digit leads in the Keystone State, a new poll finds.
Trump has the support of 39% of Republicans there, according to a new Quinnipiac University survey released Wednesday. That's a nine-point advantage over Texas Sen. Ted Cruz at 30% support and a 15-point lead over John Kasich who had 24%. The Ohio governor has previously made the case that he could have a strong showing in Pennsylvania, where he was born.
(Excerpt) Read more at cnn.com ...
PING
Waiting for Donald to come to Eastern PA...
This is a pretty clear case of Kasich hurting Cruz’s chances and helping Trump’s because all the delegates are awarded to the winner in each district. Ditto for the statewide ones.
With Kasich in, he and Cruz split the anti-Trump vote and Trump could win most of the delegates even though he’s still under that 40% ceiling he has trouble cracking in most cases.
Then again, the 54 delegates elected by district will enter the convention unbound on the first ballot. This is the sort of wrinkle that Cruz has proven adept at taking advantage of. Trump could win the district, but the delegates chosen for that district might have already decided to vote for Cruz anyway, or Kasich. Pretty weird. Why bother having a primary if that’s the case?
I’m betting Cruz, and maybe Kasich, are well aware of the implications of the unbound district delegates and have been working it for months. I’d also bet that this would be news to Trump (but not Manafort) and that he’ll be screaming “unfair” as soon as Manafort brings him up to speed. So much to do, so little time.
“With Kasich in, he and Cruz split the anti-Trump vote “
Opinion.
Me too.
If I remember correctly, the vote in PA doesn’t matter. All PA delegates are technically unbound, and they are elected by name on a ballot that does not indicate who they support, if anyone. Many pledge to support the winning in their district, but for the first round of voting only, and even that is optional under state party rules. After that first round of voting at the convention, what matters is who they personally support. Some have declared loyalty to Trump or Cruz, but many are not talking.
What matters is whether the candidates can convince the delegates individually to support them. Trump needs to read the rules and get to work. I can guarantee that Cruz and even Kasich have already done that.
who would vote 4 k sick again the gop are puttin out these numbers
Me Three!
Kasich is dead in PA. He just doesn’t know enough to lie down.
I’m looking forward to voting in the PA Republican primary April 26. For Donald Trump.
17 are awarded outright to the winner in PA. The other 54 are unbound. Trump got his delegate guru Manafort now and most of those guys will go Trump when he wins PA.
Yep, confirms what Cruz has been saying about Trump’s ceiling. Hopefully, by the 26th, Cruz can pull ahead. Kasich really hurts Cruz in PA and will come in third and get little or no delegates for himself.
Hopefully, when it gets down to voting time, the actual Republican conservatives in PA will take Wisconsin’s lead and forget about Kasich and vote strategically for Cruz. If they do, Cruz can win PA along the lines of Wisconsin.
Good for you...and thousands of other Pennsylvanians!!!
Dream on, my FRiend!
How is he going to pull ahead-by losing?
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