Posted on 04/08/2016 3:20:50 AM PDT by kevcol
Good. Trump can have the 95 delegates. Putting him over 850. Then the rest of the northeast gives him 1100. The mountain states and New Mexico gives him 30. California, Oregon and Washington give him 180. Done! Trump wins!
He doesn't stay in to act as a spoiler.
The General election is set up to prevent spoilers since it is winner take all in most States.
That is why we are a essentially a two Party system, only one of two men can win the election.
If the two men are so evenly matched that there is a tie, then it does back to the House who decides.
Because the House most represents the will of the People.
The nominating process only goes to the convention, as in the case of Ford and Reagan, for example, when the race is so close, that the convention delegates must decide it.
If Cruz were leading and Trump would be mathematically eliminated, Trump should withdraw instead of dragging it out to see if he could win a convention fight.
Convention fights usually leave the Party divided and weakened in the national election.
A month after the convention, new polls would show him 20 pts behind-surprise!
Actually, this is the way it always works, with the exception of one element. Usually, about this time, you would see the Front Runner emerge and start piling up win after win. Romney did it in 2012. McCain did it in 2008. GWB did it in 2000. Bob Dole did it in 1996... etc.
It is up to the Front Runner to rack up the wins in the middle part of the primary, so that he is the presumptive nominee by the time California and New Jersey roll around in June. I have been voting in New Jersey since 1990, and there has never been a case where the Front Runner had not salted it away by then.
It is not that the other candidates pulled out. They were knocked out. This is the way it usually works, and this is what Donald Trump, for whatever reason, is not able to do this year.
It is not John Kasich's fault that Trump's campaign is sputtering. When no Front Runner emerges to unite the party, the smart play is to stay in.
The fact that both will continue to run shows that the real goal is just to get to the convention.
This is not how primaries are suppose to operate.
This is exactly how primaries are supposed to operate.
The Front Runner is supposed to get his bandwagon rolling, and have everybody pile on. The loser is supposed to continue to struggle to catch up and ultimately fail. It has happened this way every year I can remember, back to 1976.
But, for one reason or another, Donald Trump is not able to get anybody to jump on his bandwagon. I think it has something to do with the fact that his disapproval rating is something like 70% nationwide.
It is John Kasich's fault that Donald Trump can't seal the deal. Trump should be closing it out in spite of Kasich's best efforts.
A month after the convention, new polls would show him 20 pts behind-surprise!
I think Kasich would beat Hillary like a drum.
He would be the calm and steady, trustworthy guy standing next to Hillary, whom nobody trusts and everybody dislikes.
But Kasich is not my favorite. I like Cruz. Kasich is too eager to expand government power, IMHO. But I would vote for him in a New York minute over any Democrat.
What is occurring now is simply an admitted effort by both Cruz and Kasich to keep Trump from getting the number, knowing they can't.
So, this is a blatant attempt to ignore the will of those who voted for Trump and throw the nomination back to the will of the Party bosses!
Cruz said that Kasich should drop out when it became clear Kasich could not win.
All Kasich is doing now is muddying up the waters, and not allowing a two man match up to see who the grassroots really want.
This is not how primaries are run and could result in them becoming irrelevant when in the future, no candidates drop out!
If Bush and Rubio were still in the race, they would be getting enough votes to keep anyone from winning the majority and so have to go to the convention.
Only with Trump is a convention fight preferable to the establishment then having him an outright winner.
Convention fights usually result in the candidate selected losing the General election since the Party is divided.
The GOPe doesn't care about losing the WH so doesn't mind a convention battle.
Cruz voters are very delusional to think that Cruz will win a national election by winning a convention battle.
Enough GOP voters would sit out the election (both Trump and Cruz supporters) to throw key swing States to Hillary.
You are delusional to think that a guy who can only win his own State in the primary could gather support from those voters whose candidates actually won various States and were leading him in delegates.
It really does show the significant defects in Republican conservative mindset. Sticking to a state-of-the-art 1980 candidate won't win national elections in the 21st century. But there's a segment of the GOP voters that will figure this out in about 80 years or so.
And a contested convention give them that chance to vote for someone? It opens the door for someone who has the fewest (or none at all) votes to become the nominee - you don't think that's demoralizing?
Funny how we decried how the machine that put Romney front and center disenfranchised so many of us (and gave the WH back to Obama for another 4 years of destruction of Freedom), but so many are now all for it - until it comes back to bite us all on the ass.
He is now - at least as long as trump has a shot. When one's enemies seem to be backing one, it seems that questions need to be asked.
Calling his minions from the Schumer slime machine to have us all painted as hatin’ on da jooozzz is ok with you?
MY ANTENNA WENT UP, OUR ANTENNA WENT UP, CODE WORDS, DOG WHISTLES...
Yep, Trumps new GOPe friends had it figured. Grab a few N.Y. delegates away from Cruz by having one of Donny's liberal hacks (whom he gave money to) gin up story lines about Antisemitism from Ted AND HIS SUPPORTERS...YES...
But they have been bagged.
They will not sleep well in the black tower of Mordor at Trump Plaza....THE JIG IS UP.
Or a Ryan ticket...
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