That is my thinking. I think you are dead on. Trump has no chance in a third party unless he buys off libertarians ( easily bought with their goof ball as VP johnson) ) but Trump has renounced that. The key to reclaim this country and OUR party is to crush the oligarchy. They are so rancid and sickening. If we don’t we will never vote for another republican for even city counsel. They suck.
Trump already tried third party (independence ) and ended up hanging with david Duke.
Trump learned....