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Kasich won't take the VP slot, and I'd wager I know him a good deal better than you do. Rubio might, but why wouldn't he just take the VP slot for Cruz, who he likes better than Trump?

The problem is that Trump -- and a lot of his supporters -- have always been gleeful about insulting other candidates, and attacking the party in general. Well, when it comes time for all those delegates (a great many of whom are elected GOP officials at the state and local level), do you think they're going to rally against the guy who has been insulting them for months?

I think Trump almost had this in the bag after his AIPAC speech. As much as he is disliked, I think many in the party recognize that it is preferable to nominate the guy with the most delegates, even if it is not a majority. But since then, he's diminished himself with unforced errors, and now everyone is nervous about him self-destructing in the general election.

And it doesn't help him that he's been so openly at war with the party itself, and insulting of anyone who doesn't support him. Taking metaphorical craps on the heads of other people is not a good way to attract their support.

Bottom line is that if Trump does lose this nomination, the guy to blame will be the one staring back at him in the mirror. He will have blown it all on his own.