Kraut said Trump would show strength with a solid base of support if his vote total ended “in the high 30s.” The vote came in at 35%, so a little under where Kraut was thinking it would be when he said that. It was a backhanded compliment of sorts. Kraut was saying Trump had such a bad last 2 weeks, that he would have expected any normal politician to drop much lower than the high 30s.
The key for me is this exact same vote % gave Trump a “win” in Michigan, but here it’s a historic loss. It doesn’t seem the voter perception of Trump changed that much. The same people opposed him in Michigan, but this time Rubio wasn’t taking votes from Cruz and Kasich’s support switched to Cruz. Trump didn’t change, his diverse opposition just figured out for once that a successful strategy is consolidating votes on Cruz.
Yeah.
Kasich got less than the poll numbers and Cruz more. It seemed to be directly correlated.
In NY, with Cruz and Kasich, Trump may run the congressional districts with only pluralities in many.