What did Kasich get last night? 14% ... in a blue state ...
Almost no one will vote for someone who cannot get to 1237. In two weeks Cruz support will tank. He will fight with Kasich for the bottom 20% ...
No one will vote for the second place guy who cannot get there.
Usually there would be a bandwagon effect where second- and third-place finishers would back the frontrunner. Here the opposite is the case. Republican voters who don’t like Trump won’t care if their alternative is mathematically eliminated on the first ballot.