Well we’ll have to disagree Quigley.....I am one that it’s not over til it’s over...and I certainly wouldn’t agree that Cruz is costing us the election.
As much as I understand why and how Trump has come this far, and as much the same of his supporters....I will not get on the Trump train. If and when there’s a Convention , and it looks like it’s headed that way....then we’ll see what’s determined. But for now there are still delegates to get, and those to bargain with....the race isn’t over and we do not have a winner yet.
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Reality the base is winning 80% vs the established candidates, in Trump and Cruz. But Trump is the conservative choice by millions of voters.
Losing FL and OH to Trump by a combined 1,000,000 votes buried any chance Cruz has. Cruz’s pathway to White House ended then. No candidate has ever suffered that kind of defeat in those 2 purple states and been the nominee much less the Pres. Every professional and amateur in politics understands this.
But lets map out the rest of the primary season.
Cruz will win Wisconsin but there are no big delegate states left where he is not losing badly to Trump and they are all proportional states, not winner take all. Not enough delegates left for Cruz to even get close.
Trump will have 1100 to 1300 delegates, Cruz 700 to 800. So Cruz’s only path is by convention vote and pissing off the 1,000,000 Trump voters in Fl and Oh, those same voters Cruz will need to beat Hillary. Not enough of those voters will crossover to Cruz.
He knows this, so whats he doing? I believe this is where the bought and paid for comes into play, he is simply following his masters, the money bundlers, which is the case for all these candidates but Trump, they have no money of their own, this is the only plausible explanation, cause Cruz is no dummy he knows he can’t win.
And yes I will say he is costing us a chance at the election, because he is not the first choice of the base, also he knows this, Trump is. What he should be doing is finding a way to reconcile with Trump, maybe as VP, although Cruz’s actions in the last 2 weeks may have doomed that.
I know that Trump claims to have millions of voters.....but it’s the delegates at convention who select the winner in the end, bound and otherwise pending the number of times they will vote, if this does go to convention.
As for using stats from past elections....I think we all know this election is a far cry from any other beforehand, both in voters, players and the committees around them plays....So you really cannot do more than speculate the outcome at best. They’re already determining if their rules will change...and Trump certainly makes his own....they may play his game of rule change.
You may believe that Trump is causing us to loose the election....but for me it’s Trump that’s doing so.