Fairy tale polls are not predictive of anything. Nate Silver, Jamie Dupree, Hannity, etc. All say they are garbage.
> polls are not predictive of anything.
The only polls I believe are the votes counted.
What I find most interesting are the sample sizes.
So far in 2016 20.3 million GOP votes have been cast.
( and I have only counted for Trump, Cruz, Rube, Kasich,Carson)
Trump got 7.8M 38%, Cruz got 5.7M 28%, Kasich 2.8M 14%
By March 2012 10.3 Million had voted GOP.
Romney got 4.1M and Santorum had 2.8M
By March 2008 7.5 Million had voted GOP.
McPain got 2.7M Romney had 2.5M
Here is the real kicker:
So far in 2016 15.3 Million Dems voted.
Clinton got 8.9M 58%, Sanders has 6.4M 42%
By March 2008 a whopping 27.9 Million Dems had voted.
Obama had 14M, Clinton had 13.9M
These numbers give me encouragement.