Posted on 03/24/2016 6:58:25 AM PDT by SeekAndFind
A Bloomberg poll finds that both Donald Trump and Ted Cruz would lose the general election Hillary Clinton if the election were held today. Only John Kasich beats Clinton in the hypothetical match-up. Bloomberg published this graphic showing the results of its poll:
As you can see, Trump is trailing by 18 in this poll, meaning that even if all the 9% who say they are “not sure” were to swing his way, he would still be looking at a sizable loss. While the match-up with Cruz is tighter, adding all of the undecideds to his total still results in a loss (though it would at least be within the poll’s margin of error). John Kasich beats Clinton but in the theoretical match-up but the race could easily go either way once the 11% of respondents who said they are “not sure” make a decision.
Underlying these results are the strong negatives Trump has when it comes to favorability. The poll found 68% of respondents view Trump unfavorably compared to 53% who say the same about Hillary Clinton.
There is some good news in this poll for Trump. Respondents overwhelmingly (63%) believe whoever arrives at the convention with the most delegates should become the nominee, even if he falls shy of the 50% needed to automatically make him the nominee. That’s bad news for John Kasich who is relying on a brokered convention strategy to give him a shot at the nomination.
In addition, Trump is still the leading candidate within the GOP whether or not Kasich drops out of the race. In a three-way race, 40% of respondents say Trump is their first choice or the person they are leaning toward supporting. Ted Cruz is back at 31% and John Kasich at 25 percent. But even if one of the other two candidates drop out, Trump comes out on top. In a two-man race against Cruz, Trump wins 48% to 44% (margin of error 5.1%) and in a race against Kasich Trump wins 51% to 43 percent.
And you’re point is? Vote for Kasich who can’t win any state other than his own and gets beat by Rubio (who’s not running) and “other” in Arizona?
Virginia didn't compete
North Carolina last
He can't beat Hillary in Ohio
I guess the media thinks everyone is a low information voter
Think that’s bad? Just wait til they unload on Trump or Cruz or Kaisch. And that will be about when the MSM will turn on them.
Pity we couldn’t have had a smart, decent Conservative running for POTUS.
Well, Clinton is a minion of Satan, so...
If this poll is accurate, it has some very good news for Trump. The general election is far off.
Read the last paragraph. For what it’s worth, Trump beats Cruz and Kasich head to head.
Oh the horror, republicans need to find someone else, like Myth Romknee, or Yeb Bush
The Democrats know who the real threat is. They are sending their minions out to disrupt Trump not Kasich or Cruz. This “poll” is along the same lines; it is laughable on its face.
I agree. People are in for a shock this November. I think either Cruz or Trump will run closer with Clinton than this, and other polls state, but you can’t import over 40 million third world immigrants since 1965 who vote 80% democrat and think we are not at a disadvantage.
Why do you continue to post articles from progressive rags?
RE: Why do you continue to post articles from progressive rags?
What if this “progressive rag” suddenly shows Trump or Cruz beating Clinton later?
I should not post this as well?
Either critique the poll’s methodology or deal with it.
If the general election were held today, and the candidates were [Hillary Clinton for the Democrats] and [NAME FROM LIST for the Republicans], for whom would you vote? (Rotate list names. Rotate which name is asked first in question.)
Asked only of likely 2016 general election voters; n=815. MoE: ± 3.4 percentage points.
Clinton Name from list Not Sure
Ted Cruz 51 42 7
John Kasich 43 47 11
Donald Trump 54 36 9
We should reject all polls from Hillary’s media Super PACS.
Kasich HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAA!!
Anyways, you’re exactly right. Kasich is the only guy left in the race who Empress Cankles can beat for sure. Trump? She hasn’t got a snowball’s chance in Hell. That’s why the loser GOPe and the Dems are fighting the Trumpinator so hard.
I still remember that s.o.b. Lindsey Graham laughing it up with Hitlery back in 2005. I looked around the neighborhood, saw all of the Spanish signs being put up to help trespassers negotiate the banks, used car sales lots, and home improvement stores, and knew exactly what those two were discussing.
“Lindsey, you rub my back, and I’ll rub yours. I’ll get these illegals on their pathway to citizenship, and they’ll vote for you in perpetuity.”
How many times must we see the rehash of the same polls? Horseshite.
I agree Clinton is ahead, but the margins in this poll are absurd.
I know three working class me Democrat men, they have absolutely know clue who Cruz is, in fact two of them thought he was Marco Rubio.
“about 45 states”
Yep, that’s about where I put it too.
I actually predicted “45+” states.
But these little differences among friends is what makes a horserace.
We don’t have a national election by popular vote. Our voting is done by state, i.e. the Electoral College.
When an honest poll reflects how our election is held, I’ll consider it. Until then, this nonsense is created for only one purpose, and that is to persuade voters to vote the way the “elites” desire.
From Election Betting Odds.com....
Clinton to win General Election: 10-7 odds
Trump to win General Election: 5-1 odds
Sanders: 25-1 odds
Cruz: 33-1 odds
Kasich: 60-1
Paul Ryan: 170-1
Romney: 500-1
They time the poll-taking to enable their desired result. They call working class areas during the daytime when few of a conservative bent are home; most are out working.
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.