Sorry, Kasich is at 19.
Good. Now trump pretend you are down 100 points and get over to Wisconsin and win this thing.
The hope burns eternal for the GOPe!
Is Emerson Poll reliable?
I read some time ago that Cruz, in one of his first moves as senator, greased skids in Wisconsin, with Scott Walker, Paul Ryan and Reince Priebus before Cruz ever announced.
Cruz arrived in the US Senate and went right to work buying strategy and Establishment politicians in all the right places.
That’s politics, and this event should probably come as no surprise.
Considering that Arizona had a far more favorable demographic for Ted Cruz, I just can’t see this as being very valid.
From the release:
In a statewide Emerson College poll released today, Texas Senator Ted Cruz is not only leading Trump 36% to 35% in the upcoming primary, but Cruz is only trailing Hillary Clinton by one point in a hypothetical general election matchup, 46% to 45%.
In contrast, Trump is trailing both Clinton and her Democratic rival, Bernie Sanders, by the same 9-point margin of 47% to 38% in a potential general election match-up.
Margin of Error
4.6
Reuters; Likely Republican Primary Voter, Trump 45, Cruz 33
Trump for President.
Go, Ted, go! The conservatives’ choice!
Three people in WI have lost a lot and will lose a lot with a Trump presidency. He knocked Walker out. Rinse Previs doesn’t want to lose a job he should have been fired from in 2012 for losing. And Ryan faced Trump messing up his little cabal in the House.
Trump, hit Cruz hard. This is going to be like SC, it’s going to get really really nasty. At the end of this process neither supporters will vote for the other guy.
based on this newest poll Nate Silver now has Cruz as 82% likely to win Wisconsin.
I also hear that the anti-Trump Super PACs are hitting WI hard with ads. They’re hoping to win WI ahead of what is predicted to be a huge win in NY, where Trump can take all 95 delegates since he is leading 65 to Cruz at 13 and Kasich 1. The week after NY, there are 172 delegates up for grabs in CT, DE, MD, PA and RI. Trump will probably take the majority of these delegates.
Even winning WI won’t save Cruz from being in the position that Kasich is in, having no possible chance of getting to 1237.
winner take all ... 42 delegates .... primary ... April 5
And this is before the Walker endorsement.
Walker was my number one guy.
Looks good for Cruz! But he needs to get his tail to WI for the next two weeks and work hard for the win.
How are delegates allocated?