If Trump gets all the Romney states and wins FL and NY, how close to 270 are we ?
191+29+29 = 249 ... Answered my own question
Close, but not enough.
The task is bigger than that.
Flipping just FL and NY still leaves the Democrat as the winner.
Read a little further down the article. This poll shows Trump losing to Hillary by 18 points in New York.
If Trump gets all the Romney states and wins FL and NY, how close to 270 are we ?Heck either, NH, WI, VA, NV, IW + FL and NY give Trump the election.
My "blue" state of New York is not in play yet unfortunately. It will require a 15% (D) crossover from last time ( net 30% ) to just put in to play.
Florida is indeed purple and infinitely do-able for Trump although Cruz or Rubio or Kasich would easily lose it. The (R)epublicrat GOPes failing to understand something this simple proves they would rather lose the election to Hillary than win with Trump.
NH is still "blue" unfortunately, but it along with NJ or CT are the top three "Blue" candidates to be stolen back with a tailwind and God's help. It will be difficult but you never know. Maybe something unexpected might happen out west too with a surprise win in either OR, WA, or HI. One thing is for sure, if *any* "Blues" start flipping on election night it means a very lonnngggg evening for the (D)ummycrats.
The others you list WI, VA, NV, IA are four more of the twelve purple states which McCain/Palin lost and Romney/Ryan took just two ( IN, NC ). I'm not at all convinced yet about WI or VA, and highly doubt IA. Add to those doubtful purple states CO as well.
The five remaining purple ones are definitely on the table in likely order of possibility: IN, NC, NV, MI, NM, added to FL and he wins easily. Add in any "Blue" states and he is over 300 and a great victory with a mandate that Congress cannot possibly refuse. If some of the other "Blues" get snagged from the (D)ummycrats then the White House will be renamed to the Trumpicana.
But let's not get ahead of ourselves because the electoral map today is badly aligned against us and the Red/Blue paradigm remains at +70 minimum headstart for the (D)ummies.