The same could have been said about Reagan in 1980. At this point in time Reagan was behind Jimmy Carter by 20-30%. Trump is only behind by a few points and in some polls ahead. And Trump has just started taking aim at Clinton.
New Trump Ad Against Clinton: https://t.co/2yYy6Nyta9
Trump’s unfavorable rating is at 60%+.
“having a net-negative favorable rating, like Romneys, has almost always led to defeat. Consider the record. In mid-April 1980, Carters numbers were stuck at 43 percent favorable to 48 percent unfavorable; he wound up losing to Reagan by 440 electoral votes. By the end of March 1984, Walter Mondale had slipped from 40 percent favorable and 31 percent unfavorablehis February statsto 32 percent favorable and 37 percent unfavorable; the only state he won in November was Minnesota. On February 27, 1996, Bob Dole posted an anemic 23 percent favorable rating, and his numbers had not improved much by May, when they registered at 27 percent favorable to 29 percent unfavorable. Even though Dole eventually dug out of his hole, he still lost the general election by more than 8 million votes. History shows that if voters dont like you in the spring, they tend not to vote for you in the fall.” - http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2012/03/19/is-mitt-romney-the-most-unpopular-presidential-nominee-ever.html