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To: HamiltonJay

And how many states like that are left? I believe there are very few states where Cruz can’t beat Trump on on one. It looks like most states are pure winner-take-all with no 50% threshold now. Kasich allows Trump to keep winning those with 40%, the same kind of result that has been to Trump’s advantage in many, many states so far.


175 posted on 03/16/2016 4:25:34 PM PDT by JediJones (I'm with Ted Cruz, Mark Levin, Dana Loesch, Steve Deace, Michelle Malkin, James Woods & Ben Shapiro)
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To: JediJones
It looks like most states are pure winner-take-all with no 50% threshold now.

Actually, there are only a few pure winner-take-all states. Most of them have WTA by congressional district and WTA for the at-large delegates. So while it i not truly proportional, it is not strictly WTA either.

177 posted on 03/16/2016 4:37:14 PM PDT by CA Conservative (Texan by birth, Californian by circumstance)
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To: JediJones

Nope there Are 6 states that are pure winner take all.

AZ, NJ, DE, SD, NE & MT

I worked my math with Trump taking NJ, DE and AZ and assumed Cruz took the other three.. The rest of the states are hybrid/proportional.

Trump should easily get 55% or better from what is left especially in a 3 way race. As I said look at MO, that’s as close as Cruz could do without winning and Trump still will get at least 61.5% of its delegates.

In head to head without Kasich in the mix, Trump will easily get 50%+ in many of the remaining hybrid states and take all the delegates. Cruz is weak in the states coming up.. His strength is in the west. Rust belt, mid Atlantic and North East in a head to head Trump will win more than enough in a head to head to lock it up. This is what Kasich does he slows down the Trump count by preventing the 50%, win all district winner take all triggers in those hybrid states.


183 posted on 03/16/2016 5:01:27 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: JediJones
I believe there are very few states where Cruz can’t beat Trump on on one.

You misspelled Can.

190 posted on 03/16/2016 6:03:47 PM PDT by itsahoot
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