Posted on 03/14/2016 8:43:15 PM PDT by JediJones
...if Rubio and Kasich exit the race after March 15...Ted Cruz can beat out Donald Trump...
[Trump] has a very high floor of support because he has garnered more media attention than any candidate in the history of presidential politics. ...that same media attention has convinced almost every other Republican voter...to oppose him at all costs.
...had this battle been a two man race after Super Tuesday, Cruz would already be leading...
The March 15 Roadblock
Donald Trump could not ask for a more fortuitous situation in which the mixture of his challengers, their home states, and winner-take-all status all coalesce in his favor at the perfect time.
...by having Kasich and Rubio both lose their states and exit the race, Cruz will finally be able to go man-a-mano against Trump...
Now, what happens if Trump wins the 99 delegates in Florida, especially if he wins the 66 delegates in Ohio? Wont this be the end of the race? Doesnt Trump have it in the bag? This will be the narrative the fawning media tries to promulgate on the night of March 15. However...this scenario will actually lead to the downfall of Trump.
...even a more pessimistic spread...would likely result in Trump coming out of Super Tuesday 2.0 no more than 200 delegates ahead of Cruz.
...polls have consistently shown that Cruz would beat Trump head-to-head in almost every state...[Trump] has an impervious ceiling in the low 40s.
...[Cruz] would have a great path to winning a plurality and coming into a convention with the mandate...
...on June 8: Cruz 1239, Trump 987...roughly 250 for other candidates.
...all built upon the assumption that Kasich and Rubio leave the race.
...having Kasich (or even Rubio) stay in the race along with Cruz will also result in Trump missing the delegate majority...
(Excerpt) Read more at conservativereview.com ...
Having been a Cruz supporter once, I'd say you have that backwards. The level of idolatry about your newly minted weasel of a candidate is beyond belief.
This last weekend was really fun watching the gyrations Cruzers made, and the pretzels they became defending his excusing the totalitarian leftist rent a mobs in Chicago
I prefer theconservativetreehouse. Breitbart has been a little too confused this year.
TCTH with fidelity to the facts and all the dots.
He didn’t excuse them, he said there is no excuse for them.
It was despicable. Anyone that doesn't understand this was desperation from a man who is profoundly dishonest in what he says should be ashamed.
The only way he can win is cheat.
Sort of like; I like Sarah but......
Hugh Hewitt signaled that a Kasich/Cruz ticket is what the establishment has in mind now.
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Hewitt is a phony. Don’t trust anything he says.
Kasich will never be the nominee and Cruz as VP would be a waste of his abilities. If not POTUS, Cruz would be a good SCOTUS Justice or at least AG. ....VP is basically a nothing burger position, with Dick Cheney being the exception in the last four or five decades.
I think Trump/Kasich is more likely, ...
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Jedi, I enjoy your positive posts that are not always trashing others.
I disagree with this one, however, as I can’t imagine a Conservative ever voting for the Liberal Kasich. He lives in a fantasy land of 3-4 decades ago (which he reminds everyone of at every debate by constantly talking about his past).
And Trump will beat Cruz soundly in NY and AZ.
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I’ll give you NY. Why would AZ not vote for Cruz, who favors the 2nd and 10th Amendments and enforcement of immigration laws? ...Trump has said little about States’ rights (the 10th) and seems to think he could rule the country like his business empire, as the Executive.
This is one of the main reasons I have lost respect for Kasich and Rubio.
Knowing they have no chance for victory, they have purposely stayed in the race just to gum up the works.
It was clear that this was a 2 man race after super Tuesday.
Hannity called Kasich out for this yesterday.
I am a Cruz supporter, but I will vote for Trump if he wins the nomination.
Can anyone get to Cleveland with enough delegates?
Not sure now, we will see.
Immigtration is a big issue in AZ. Trump has the endorsements of Joe Arpaio and Jan Brewer. The Wall is very important given what is happening at the border. Criminal alien crime is rampant.
AZ will go to Trump big time.
Well there’s a lot of assumptions and more than a little wishful thinking in that. But I did my part to make it happen by voting for Cruz on my way in to work this morning.
He didn't make 50%, so hey...we tried. LOL!
The converse is that if Cruz DOESN'T have a very good day today then he's toast. He has no chance of getting to the convention with a majority.
I don't disagree with that but that has nothing to do with Trump picking him as V.P. Trump is not any kind of core conservative. He would pick Kasich just to win Ohio. I don't think Trump cares at all what his running mate's positions are because he's truly flexible on all the issues, meaning he'll take whatever position he has to to make his poll numbers go up. Hillary might be a vote for Obama's 3rd term but Trump is a vote for Bill Clinton's 3rd term.
Trump will beat Hillary like a rented mule.
Incoherent? You might want to look at the total number of votes accumulated by Trump (where the GOP vote is being split to multiple candidates) and Hillary (only challenged by a 75 year old socialist) thus far. Hilliary will get steam rolled.
Well, that didn't happen so I guess the writer now believes Trump is the nominee?
I agree with the sentiment of your post but it is fair for a candidate to stay in the race and win delegates. It is even more important when there is no winner by majority(1237 delegates). Your candidacy is still valid if people are still wanting to vote for you. This nomination is probably going to a second vote. No, Kasich will not be the nominee but he may have enough clout to garner himself a spot on the ticket if he recommends to his delegates to vote for a particular nominee.
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