Polls close in 20 min. All the news folks will say at present is that 10-to-15 percent more people showed up to vote, than expected. That might shift the predictions. Presently, I’d say a quarter of the population is frustrated and finished with the top five parties. This is three separate states, not a national election, but it really tells a story over anger in the country.
Which can lead to some very unpleasant results. And if it does, Merkel will bear the brunt of the responsibility for it.
Regardless of how well the AfD (”Alternative for Germany”) Party does in these elections (I would expect 20 percent at best), the other parties will unite against them like Uniparties do forming coalition governments in the three German states excluding them.