“Drumpf needs 60% of remaining delegates to stop a contested convention.”
I don’t think that’s correct.
Ok. It’s 54% as it stands now. 60% is what Cruz needs. If Drumpf wins Florida and loses Ohio, which is probably what happens if Rubio stays in, Drumpf will need 51%. That simply will not happen. Drumpf is out of open primaries and Rubio and Kasich will either suspend or be shown as completely nonviable. The probability of a contested convention is going way up and the only thing that’s likely to change that is Rubio or Kasich dropping out which would put Cruz over the 60% needed. Drumpf’s support is where it is.