This morning on Fox, Scott Rasmussen (the pollster) was talking about how Trump still needed 60% of the future delegates to clinch the nomination. He was saying it in context of how difficult it will be, that it’s unlikely. This was complete spin. If Trump wins FL and OH, Kasich and Rubio will both drop out. Rubio might not make it there at all.
Once those two drop out, the remaining 25ish future contests will ONLY be between Trump and Cruz. Trump’s percentage of the overall delegate count will skyrocket because almost all of these states are winner take all and favor Trump. So instead of getting 30-40% of the delegates, in states like CA, NY he’ll get 100%. By the end, (again presuming Trump wins FL and OH) he will probably have close to 1500 delegates in total.
The wise move, it seems, would be for Trump to offer Cruz the Vice Presidency, for Cruz to accept, and close the deal on the first ballot.
Besides, Cruz would be an excellent choice for Vice President.
“This morning on Fox, Scott Rasmussen (the pollster) was talking about how Trump still needed 60% of the future delegates to clinch the nomination. He was saying it in context of how difficult it will be, that it’s unlikely. This was complete spin. If Trump wins FL and OH, Kasich and Rubio will both drop out. Rubio might not make it there at all.”
Last night all Fox could talk about was all the ways Trump could lose - right after Trump won the 2 big states of the night. I switched to my new favorite station, CNN. At least I expect Van Jones to be biased - he never pretended to be otherwise like the Fox team.
Trump leads in delegates and in the polls for the upcoming states. If he can’t win, according to the Fox team, nobody can!
With the future winner take all states, assuming its a two-way race, means Trump has to win 50.1% on 60% of remaining states-on average. He can lose 4 out of 10 states (on average) and still win.