Only one credible poll showed that. Both Mitchell and Trafalgar, conducted at the same time, found Trump way ahead. I'm not saying be overconfident but it's hard to imagine Trump losing here.
I’m nervous about MS going full Cochran.
Polls taken a week or so ago found Trump way up. We haven't had any recent polls but if you're concerned about what happened in LA, don't forget that was a closed primary while MS is open. It makes a fair bit of difference and some have pointed out that parts of LA are similar to TX which voted strongly for Cruz. As a means of comparison, Trump won the KY caucus on the same night, even though it was difficult terrain for him as a caucus rather than an open primary. With the exception of TX and OK, Trump has overwhelmingly dominated the South - particularly the Deep South and you don't get any more Deep South than Mississippi.
ID is so sparsely populated its hard to gauge for a primary. HI is volatile, low percentage of pubs, caucus, and the Romney/LDS connection could matter.
As much as I hate saying it, my gut feeling is that Cruz will win Idaho, because Cruz does well in caucuses and the mormons don't seem to like Trump as much. As for Hawaii, it's not at all impossible that Rubio or Trump will win there. Hawaii is overwhelmingly non-white, so that could play into Rubio's hands. But then again, I don't know.
We could get anything from a freight train to another split decision.
If by a split decision, you mean that two states go to Trump and two go to other candidates, then it's possible but don't forget that HI and ID are small states while MI and MS are the big prizes of the night. But Trump winning MS and MI by handsome/landslide margins would essentially be a freight train.
Just worried the full monty by all his enemies will take a toll.
I was feeling very confident until today. I’m in florida and the non stop anti Trump ads are brutal and vicious. I don’t want to underestimate the impact they could have before prople head out to vote.
What about the Asian vs Hispanic vote on Trump. As well as the types of Asians who would bother to vote in a GOP primary.