A great night for Trump so far. He over-performed the single poll reported in Mississippi by about 14%, the same as Alabama on Super Tuesday and the best over-performance of the race for him. He also came in almost exactly on his RCP average in Michigan. Polls for Trump have been uncannily accurate, which should make him happy as he looks at some upcoming winner-take-all States like Ohio and Florida, where he leads in both.
If Trump is having a great night, it means that the others aren’t doing so well, and that’s true. But I note Cruz once again has way over-performed his poll numbers. By 25% in Michigan and an astounding 114% in Mississippi. The pollsters need to figure out why their mixture isn’t accurately picking up on Cruz when they are dead on for Trump. Cruz also looks like he will add Idaho to his win column and although he is falling behind on the delegate count, this isn’t a complete blowout. South Carolina was his low point in terms of expectations so far this primary season.
Kasich has had his best night so far. His second place finishes in Massachusetts and Vermont on Super Tuesday were not so surprising after his strong finish in New Hampshire. But beating Rubio in Mississippi shows he might have been the better choice for the GOP establishment to put their money on after Bush tanked.
And Rubio... well, not much to say. This is a train wreck and it looks like he will end up with zero delegates in the first three contests of the night. It is a bad, bad day for him.
Kasich has had his best night so far. His second place finishes in Massachusetts and Vermont on Super Tuesday were not so surprising after his strong finish in New Hampshire. But beating Rubio in Mississippi shows he might have been the better choice for the GOP establishment to put their money on after Bush tanked.
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Kasich could be the new Rubio, Number 3
Don't you think Rubio stays in for the coming debate though? Trump can close it out with a good debate performance. He ought to really cram between now and then and subject himself to some waterboarding to control his reaction to attacks.
But you would think the GOPe keeps Rubio in the debate to flame out in an all out attack on Trump while leaving Cruz to stand aside like Kasich did last time.
Cruz also looks like he will add Idaho to his win column and although he is falling behind on the delegate count, this isn’t a complete blowout. South Carolina was his low point in terms of expectations so far this primary season.
Disagree that South Carolina was Cruzs low point. Cruz promised to win the southern states which he hasn’t. Cruz is a politician, a sitting senator. How in the world could be he beat by a private New York citizen who is privately funding his own campaign at this pint. ALL of the south is Cruz’s LOW point for the Southern based sitting Texas senator.
That fact that Trump is winning these states is HUGE as Trump would say. Most would think Conservative Southerners would have voted for Cruz. But they didn’t, instead they are voting for Trump.