Posted on 03/08/2016 5:24:01 AM PST by tatown
She’s a cute as hell spinner
But totally indoctrinated establishment DC power chick
Good for a weekend in Vermont
Not marriage material
2,000 is MINE
Want me to do the math??
Prior to tonight, 906 delegates had been selected, leaving 1566. Of those, 112 are delegates who will go to the convention unbound, leaving a total of 1454 delegates available to be won.
Prior to tonight, Trump had 384 delegates. He needs 1237 to win the nomination, so he still needed 853 delegates at the start of today.
So Trump needs to win 853 delegates out of 1454 delegates available in order to win the nomination. That means he needs to win 58.6% of the available delegates from here on out starting today. Tonight there were 150 delegates available. 58.6% of 150 delegates is 88 delegates.
After tonight, there are only 1304 delegates available. If Trump only won 59 delegates, that would give him 443, still needing another 794 delegates. 794 delegates out of 1304 means he would need to get 60.9% of the remaining delegates - in other words, the percentage he needed to win in future primaries would go up, not down.
Drat! Scooped!
Yeah. If no one else was in Cruz would win !
Any assumption all support or even a majority would go to Cruz is delusional. It’s been proven support gets dispersed and some just drops off.
Cruzeorlose. It's not just a slogan.......
Actually it will go down because of WTA states... no matter what percentage of the vote Trump gets next week - if he runs the table in all five states he wins all the delegates.
You’re going to say he’s the nominee because after that I don’t see any one who can catch up to him.
For the GOP establishment, Super Tuesday is their last chance to stop Trump.
Yes it is, and it’s going to cause a great many of his weary supporters to finally stop and re-examine the man. I predict that this will be a ‘last straw’ for a lot of them.
You would think but it seems some still think he is the most conservative candidate in this race and that's the only reason to vote for him and only him.
Meanwhile, they don't take in to account that Cruz, unfortunately, sacrificed those conservative principles to align himself the the hated establishment. We are definitely living in some interesting times.
CGato
Assuming he actually wins the WTA states. But the last polls in Ohio show Trump and Kasich very close, and I think with the organization Kasich has in his home state, it is highly likely he will win there. And for every WTA state Trump loses, the percentage goes up...
Look, the numbers I gave are where he is right now. Of course the numbers will change with each primary. Whether they go up or go down depends upon whether or not Trump exceeds whatever the target percentage is at that time.
The calculus changes, you see, depending on how many of those voting for Cruz are voting for him to win, vs. how many are voting merely to fulfill the GOP-e traitorous dream of stopping Trump.
You see, the available candidates are dwindling for Cruz, just as they are for Trump.
But there are two important differences.
1) Trump has the lead: even after losing Texas (Cruz's home state) by 500,000, his overall lead *in votes* (a measure of nationwide appeal, hence 'electability') is over 500,000.
2) The race is heading towards states more intrinsically friendly to Trump: Cruz was counting on a near sweep on Super Tuesday. He changed that to picking on all the minor caucus states. But a lot of the states are "winner take all" where the other candidates like Kasich and Rubio, split the anti-Trump vote: but they do so, as we have seen tonight, differently in each state.
What of it? Do we get an Ernst Stavro Romney and GOP-e Spectre, calling different focus groups state-by-state, having first one candidate, then another, dogging it from state-to-state to try to play musical chairs, out of an ego-infested, money-worshiping (Rubio is owned by Facebook's Zuckerberg) sense of spite?
Or do the rank and file, realizing that they are being played, and that Cruz unaided cannot win either the nomination OR the general, drop out and support a true populist choice?
Trump with a YUUUUGE lead after the first two precincts in Kauai trickles in...
trump 77 48.4%
kasich 32 20.1%
cruz 27 17.0%
rubio 20 12.6%
(yes, I know two precincts mean nothing)
GO TRUMP!
In the North you had the “Ted Cruz” pastor gets shot... And the pastor is a good man who walks the walk up here.
Sad to say but I think it helped Cruz.
No numbers have been reported on CNN... their main show left the air.
Kaua’li is Trump country, apparently.
Very fragmentary returns... right now its up in the air.
Donald Trump 52.5%31-- Ted Cruz 28.8%17-14 John Kasich 10.2%6-25 Marco Rubio 8.5%5-26 All Others 0.0%0-31 Precincts Reporting5.3%
If you think about it, there will be a lot of military votes on Oahu as well. Trump does well with that demographic. This is winnable for him, despite how hopeless the state is in the general election.
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