KS 20%
Cruz 48.5
Trump 26.4
Rubio 13.7
23% now
Still 49-26, Kansas is over, all that’s in doubt is the margin of victory.
I don't see how Trump can come back from this far behind with 20% in. Maybe he'll make it closer and draw a moral victory from that.
For perspective, both Santorum and Huckabee got over 50% of the vote in 2012 and 2008 with eventual nominees Romney and McCain finishing a distant second place (about 20 per cent). So Kansas is very much like Iowa in this regard.
This is what happens when:
1) It’s a Republican-only State (and you can’t fake-register as a Republican at the last moment),
and,
2)It’s a caucus, so people have to justify their votes in front of their neighbors.
Under these circumstances, too many Trumpsters are either disallowed or are too ashamed to show themselves.
It looks like it will be an impressive victory for Ted. About half as dominant as Santorum’s victory there in 2012, and Huckabee’s victory there in 2008, but impressive nonetheless.