Jeff, as always, a great analysis. I wish I were as good with numbers and statistics as you are.
But for all of the excitement and new voters that Trump brings in, he seems to alienate just as many. Let’s take Minnesota as an example. Anecdotally, from what I’ve seen and read among my fellow caucus-goers, many showed up because they were alarmed by a Trump candidacy. A lot of these were first-time caucus goers and not your normal party or conservative activists.
A lot can happen between now and November - but at this point, I see a solid bloc of Republicans, Dems and Independents that won’t vote for Trump...period. He needs some of these voters and I’m not sure he can get them in his fold.
I understand.
But some of those people may go ahead and vote for him if he becomes the nominee and the prospect is either Trump or Hillary.
Some...you will never get no matter what and that holds for all candidates.
Hillary has a lot of those huge negatives too.
Lets take Minnesota as an example. Anecdotally, from what Ive seen and read among my fellow caucus-goers, many showed up because they were alarmed by a Trump candidacy...
but they are comfortable with Marco Rubio.
Huuuuuh try to be more persuasive ......or change friends !
Wishfull thinking anyone ?
Cruz , Rubio ....Romney ....The unholly alliance !
It tells a lot ! Fake “hard core” “conservatives” and republican establishment together ....