Trump had a 12 pt lead on RCP and and the most recent (2/28) poll out of Oklahoma had him beating Cruz by 12. The CNN exit poll had Trump winning 34-30. Cruz ends up beating Trump by 4, which is a 8 pt swing from the exit poll and a 12 pt swing from a poll taken 2 days ago. Something don’t add up. No one, and that includes Cruz, thought he was winning Oklahoma. But with that said, little Marco should drop out tomorrow. There is no way on God’s green earth for him to win the nomination. Not much of one for Cruz, but he’s won 3 states, Rubio ZERO!
Oklahoma still has a few old yellow dog democrats that are naturally attracted to Trump. The polls didn’t do a good job of sorting them out. That explains the Trump over-polling.
Oklahoma also has a lower percentage of Black voters than surrounding states like Arkansas and Texas. White liberals seem to prefer Bernie to Hillary.
i’m afraid Rubio is going to eke out a victory in Minnesota...and it looks like Kasich is slipping up on Trump in Vermont....