Posted on 02/27/2016 12:59:39 PM PST by TBBT
Let's just get this out of the way first. Donald J. Trump is now highly favored to win the nomination and that's true even if the field winnows. The Donald's appeal is attitudinal, not ideological, which allows him to compete in majority rural, suburban and urban congressional districts, as opposed to the historical conservative vs. moderate dynamic that has traditionally been decided in the suburbs.
Because proportional delegates are awarded to candidates in a Republican primary based on the results of voting totals and thresholds in congressional districts, Trump is well-positioned to win the nomination. In fact, as I explained last week to Mr. John Fund at National Review, he can count on little more than his base to do so.
Not let's talk about the current status of the race.
Florida Sen. Marco Rubio pulled ahead of Texas Sen. Ted Cruz in the last two contests and polls second in several SEC states. That has strengthened the media narrative that a winnowing field can beat Mr. Trump one-one-one. However, the overall data and dynamics of the race show Sen. Cruz is a far stronger anti-Trump candidate overall than Sen. Rubio.
(Excerpt) Read more at peoplespunditdaily.com ...
I am sure the voters are saying the Same.
The race ended in South Carolina. Ted Cruz’s southern firewall came crashing down after that loss, and he’ll be lucky to even win Texas on Tuesday. As for Rubio, all this hype and a ton of money for a guy who will probably end up not winning a single primary or caucus in this campaign. Trump will win Florida and Ohio in a little over two weeks and that will be the end of it.
Check this out, as I thought, @MarcoRubio is popping pills pic.twitter.com/jdIazXbcmh— Apsinthos (@YugeMilo) February 27, 2016
Thank you for taking a stand on Rubio, and sticking with it.
I wish I could say the same for more of the Cruz supporters.
The polls show Cruz slipping to 3rd place in most of the states. I did see one with him in 2nd place and of course he is in first in Texas. Overall I see Ted slipping in the polls.
I think Rubio is up in Minn, AR and CO but Trump will get a share of those delegates and he wins the other 8 primaries and he will take FL as He is beating Rube like a drum there. TX I guess is going to be a squeaker. I see no way Trump does not get the the nomination at this point.
Trump is riding a ton of momentum into Tuesday and it wouldn’t be a shock to see him sweep everything. I think most people realize he’s going to be the next GOP nominee and may not want to waste their vote on either Rubio or Cruz who have no shot at the nomination.
Yes I’m hoping for that.
It is a funny situation. Cruz the slightly better candidate supports the lesser, Rubio. Neither have much of a chance, but Rubio will be in longer since he’s the preferred establishment stooge.
Interesting question. Saw a response from Erick Erickson to what apparently was a similar question:
Erick Erickson @EWErickson 1h1 hour ago
Yes Trump voters, I know Hillary will be President if conservatives sit out a Trump nomination. So dont nominate him. On u, not me.
Ok, but if Trump wins this nomination you’ll probably be among the first to be zotted from FR.
By the way, Erick Erickson can shove it up his butt.
Furthermore, only really stupid people would think that it’s conservatives at fault for nominating Trump. This election is about the voters, stupid. And it’s a voter rebellion against the lying Republican politicians who have failed them for 30+ years regarding securing the borders.
If it makes you feel better... I will at least acknowledge this...
Given a scenario where somebody puts a gun to my head, and given the only choice of either Trump or Rubio, I would indeed cast a vote for the Donald.
With Rubio there is certainty. You will get amnesty. With amnesty, the Democrats will get thae vast majority of the newly minted voters. The GOP and conservatism will be lost in the wilderness for at least a generation. Amnesty is a one shot deal. Unlike taxes or other issues, it can not be fixed later. Once granted, the damage will be immediate, grave, and permanent. Any issue you might care about defending now will be lost.
With Trump there is no certainty. No sane person can predict what he will do. All evidence suggest that a Trump outcome would be disastrous. However, with that uncertainty, there is still a chance - as improbable as it is - that we might get lucky.
Fine...
I'm not a history major, but why does the French Revolution come to mind when I read your comment?
I would rather Cruz get the nomination, however, if Trump gets it I will have no problem voting for him in the general. Especially against Sanders or Hillary. In the very least, Trump is a capitalist. And I truly believe he is America first and will secure the nation. And that’s my bottom line. Anything else he can do for us is gravy.
Sometimes heads have got to roll (politically speaking).
I'm sure Robespierre felt the same way until the reign of terror came to an end and he found his own head in the guillotine.
Yeah, well, I’m not in the guillotine business. Don’t even own a torch.
Cruz simply stated a home truth. Rubio, with all his many faults, would be a better president than Trump.
Why? Because Trump will never do all the things his supporters naively believe he will do.
After the ball is over, he will yawn and look for a casino to build or a woman to chase.
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