That is an ignorant statement. At this time in 1980...Carter was beating Reagan.
The dim base is very demoralized...and no amount of anti-Trump news will get them to vote in the numbers they did for BHO. You are buying into the inside the beltway spin. People are pissed...and Trump beats Hillary with 400 e-votes...and probably 56-58% of the vote. Bank on it.
I see her getting about 350 EV at this point. Trump’s negatives are even higher than hers and he’s given her plenty of ammunition to work with.