Posted on 02/22/2016 8:35:54 PM PST by BlackFemaleArmyColonel
With Donald Trump's victory in the South Carolina primary, many GOP pundits are beating the drums for other candidates to drop out of the race under the theory that a two- or three-person race would be the end of Trump's presidential campaign. But Ted Cruz, Marco Rubio, John Kasich, and Ben Carson might need more than everyone else's dropping out in order to beat Trump in the primaries. They'll have to present their own affirmative visions and, probably, address some of the populist concerns that have elevated Trump. It doesn't seem quite clear that winnowing the field will necessarily spell doom for Trump's insurgent candidacy. If Kasich and Carson dropped out, there's a good chance that at least a some of their support would go to Trump; Kasich polls well with self-identified "moderates," a group favorable to Trump, and many of Carson's supporters back him because, like Trump, he stands outside the standard political system. Some of Rubio's supporters might back Trump if he dropped out, and, since Cruz has also made much of outsider themes, it is likely that a portion of his supporters could go to Trump if the Texas senator exited the race. National primary polls are not always the best indicator, but, as the field has been winnowed over the past six months, Trump's "ceiling" in national polls has gradually ascended. It's possible he will top out at the mid 30s, but there's no guarantee of that. He has won two out of the last three primaries, both by commanding margins. So far, Trump's support has reached throughout many sectors of the Republican coalition. A recent YouGov poll found that Trump would win a three-way race with Cruz and Rubio comfortably.
(Excerpt) Read more at nationalreview.com ...
PING!
Unlike Fund, some conservative impostors at NRO are beginning to see the light.
This thing is pretty much over. After Super Tuesday the wailing and gnashing of teeth is going to be epic, simply epic.
L
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=xNnAvTTaJjM
I was afflicted with this memory today...
DC needs to get set on its head
Reminds me of someone else...
“This thing is pretty much over. After Super Tuesday the wailing and gnashing of teeth is going to be epic, simply epic.”
And you know what, I’m getting damned tired of the MSM, NRO, RedState, etc., continuing to beat their drums about Trump’s “negatives!” It’s no wonder he has “negatives” with all the bull$hit they sling 24/7 about what a “bad guy” he is. But all this against him, nevertheless, he’s going to win the primary and go on to win the General Election. I just hope he puts together a team apart from the government that goes after each and every one of them. Mafia “hit” men might make the most sense. Quick and cheap!
A ceiling is not a problem if you are riding an elevator.
All the “got to stop Trump crowd,” seem to think that there is plenty of time for them to do that. The clock is ticking very quickly. Tomorrow is NV, and Trump is expected to win big there. That will give him 3 big wins in a row. Super Tuesday is just another week away, and the last polls show Trump leading in about 12 of the 14 contests, but most of the polls are pre-NH, SC and of course NV.
If Trump wins 10, 11, 12 13 or even all 14 contests, the Rubio and Cruz campaigns will be looking at a big delegate gap to make up. Will their donors keep donating to the guys who perpetually come in 2nd and 3rd, and will their voters keep voting for them, or will they start voting for the guy who actually is winning?
If Cruz and Rubio don’t win at least 2 or 3 of the Super Tuesday contests each, they will be in real trouble.
Right after Super Tuesday there are contests on March 5, 6, 8 and 12. It will take a great deal of money to compete in all these contests, and if you haven’t won much of anything, the likelihood of winning them is minimal. Then on March 15, there are 6 WINNER TAKE ALL contests.
I think that both Rubio and Cruz may find themselves out of the race in just another 3 weeks.
Of course, I could be wrong, but I think the “anti-Trump” crowd is wrong to think that this campaign will drag on and end in a brokered convention.
There are many things that Republican candidates can do to harness the populist energies that have empowered Trump, without compromising core conservative principles. Making specific commitments on immigration (which means going beyond anti-“amnesty†boilerplate and offering detailed proposals) would seem especially important. However, areas such as health care, trade, and economic growth would also be important for this endeavor.
Sage wisdom from the NRO. If you want to win the election, be Donald Trump.
LOL
You had 8 years to prep someone else.
Time to call fire in our position. You didn’t get it done.
Strengthen the things that remain
In fact, Trump picked up another delegate tonight in New Hampshire (and Rubio had one subtracted). Trump stands to pick up another chunk of delegates tomorrow night. Record crowds at his rally in Las Vegas tonight. If even just those people vote for him tomorrow, he wins Nevada by a landslide.
Reminds me of Cruz worshippers.
Did somebody say barbecue? What are you smoking Joe? Hopefully some baby back ribs.
Rubio will be lucky to place 3rd in Florida. Cruz won’t even do well in Texas by comparison.
Like I said, after Super Tuesday this thing is over.
L
Trump’s disastrous economic policies would be good for his opponents to highlight.
LOL
Hmmm ...you just described every supporter of every candidate ..although Trump doesn’t want to BBQ babies , so I don’t think you will have to worry about that ...don’t embarrass yourself any further
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