Kasich/Bush people go to “that nice boy” Rubio giving him about 40%
Carson people will go to Trump as the other non-politican in the race giving him about 40%
That leaves the Cruz people as the kingmakers. Which way they go decides who wins.
If I could talk to Donald Trump for 5 minutes, my advice to him would be to talk up how the logical choice to Scalia’s SC Seat is Ted Cruz.
Easy sell for the next President.
Just remind the Senate that the Cruz is from Texas in a safe seat. They can kick him over to the Court or they can spend the next 40-50 years with him in the Senate. They will vote to confirm him.
To the American people you point out hat the court has tilted left and it only makes sense that the next Justice be a solid reliable Conservative like Cruz to keep the SC Court from swinging out of balance.
I really don’t think that the few Bush or Kasich people—who are going to vote—make up than more then 10 percent, and that’s being generous.
As Trump continues to dominate, it gets harder and harder to get ardent supporters to the polls. And that’s what JEB found out yesterday. It starts to become a colossal waste of time and money.
The next 10 days will tell the story. Ten days from now will be the day after Super Tuesday. I expect to see Trump win almost all of those states.
So while Rubio could get all 10 percent going to him, it’s not going to be enough, and Trump’s wins will further dishearten the anti-Trump candidates supporters. In fact, many will switch over to Trump, because everyone wants to bet on the fast horse.