All the polls I’ve seen out of the 12 Super Tuesday states, Trump is leading in 9 or 10 of them, and Cruz is leading in 2 or 3, but only by a few points in each one.
Trump will most likely win big in Nevada on Tuesday, it is very possible that the bandwagon effect could kick in, and people will start voting for the guy who is winning races as opposed to the guys who are always 2nd, 3rd, 4th or 5th. If that happens, Trump could win all 12 contests.
All this talk about consolidating the so-called anti-Trump vote and getting Kasich and Carson out, doesn’t take into account the very short time it is between now and Super Tuesday, only 10 days. I heard one woman on CNN saying that all the Super PAC’s will now come up with anti-Trump ads, but it still doesn’t give them much time to wage their anti-Trump campaign. If he wins 10 or 12 of the Super Tuesday contests, who will donate any money or time to the Cruz, Rubio, Kasich and Carson campaigns? Rubio and Cruz may even be forced to drop out by mid-March if they haven’t actually won anything.
There will not be 3 still in the race on March 17th.
There is a multiplier effect as time goes on. As Trump piles up an insurmountable lead in delegates, the vote share of his rivals will shrink and they will drop out.
That’s still the most likely scenario. An anti-Trump candidate has to win somewhere.
IA doesn’t matter.
Very sound reasoning
As long as Kasich stays in I think your right. Kasich drops out I think you got a 3 man free for all.
Trump and Cruz need to both hold there fire on each other and take Rubio out.
Then we see if Trump or Cruz is better able to lead this country.