Almost all will go to Rubio. Where mine is likely heading.
Hank
I have seen some polls showing a distribution across the board and not “all” going to Rubio, but in SC that might not have meant much even if they did all go to Rubio. In the world of theory, one could say the anti-establishment of Cruz/Trump are sitting at an advantage 400k to 300K in SC for instance. We shall see where it all shakes out in the months to come.
In a PPP poll on Feb 15th, Bush’s votes go:
Kasich 26%
Rubio 19%
Carson 19%
Cruz 11%
Trump 8%
Undecided 17%
If Trump can win in the South Carolina primary where Gingrich broke through for a bit, then I think his strongest states are to come.
Regardless, it’s the most interesting primary I have ever witnessed. I don’t think the outcome is near been determined.
Unlikely.
Last week YouGov polled a 3-way race (nationally)
Trump 46%
Rubio 28%
Cruz 26%
https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/5i941zph94/econTabReport.pdf#page=31