To: 2ndDivisionVet
So Cruz’s strategy is 2nd or 3rd place throughout the south? :?)
10 posted on
02/18/2016 12:54:46 AM PST by
xzins
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To: xzins
So Cruzâs strategy is 2nd or 3rd place throughout the south? :?)
That's where he was in Iowa until the actual polling. He may win, he may not win in South Carolina. Trump moves fast, very fast, and he is very good at bouncing back. Sometimes he says a bit too much. Four things distinguish South Carolina from Iowa and New Hampshire.
1. It is a primary state, not a caucus state like Iowa.
2. It allows crossover voting. I believe there is no "party registration" in Iowa, and the Dem primary isn't as interesting in SC this time.
3. Iowa's electorate is VERY different from New Hampshire's, and Trump's comparatively secular/New York values personality doesn't play as well there. 4. The South Carolina primary is a big deal, but it is not as etched into the state's psyche like Iowa and New Hamp[shire are. You have to work to get out the vote.
I believe points one and two favor Trump. I believe points three and four favor Cruz.
Cruz' strategy is to TURN OUT HIS VOTERS. Everyone says it, Cruz really follows through. He's not exactly Fred Thompson. At times, it is annoying, just like it's annoying to be reminded for the 10th time to take out the trash. Sometimes it has to be done.
This Saturday, here in Georgia is a county party vote. I have received three reminders to turn out at the county convention in order to be a delegate at the state convention. For the first time in a while, no real request for money. They want me to show up an do my job.
18 posted on
02/18/2016 3:07:42 AM PST by
Dr. Sivana
(There is no salvation in politics)
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