Yep. When Cruz implodes, Trump will go over 50% easily.
I don’t Cruz will catch, but it’s unlikely he will implode. I think that he’s run the most prepared campaign and with the fewest errors. He’ll be there in the end to strike a deal with Trump.
“According to our latest polls-plus forecast, Donald Trump has a 64% chance of winning the South Carolina primary.”
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/primary-forecast/south-carolina-republican/
It's OK... 41.7% (rounded up to 42%) gives control of a multiple market.