Posted on 02/13/2016 6:58:09 AM PST by RoosterRedux
Convincing victories by political outsiders in New Hampshire demonstrate without doubt that most voters are disgusted with both political parties. The electorate will probably make one of them -- more likely Donald Trump -- the next Commander in Chief.
Since 1976, just one candidate from either party has won in neither Iowa nor New Hampshire -- Bill Clinton in 1992 -- and still won his party's nomination.
While history clearly is not determinative, it can hardly be ignored.
On the Republican side, Trump won by a compelling margin in the Granite State over Iowa winner Ted Cruz -- 36 to 12 percent -- because he did well among both moderates and conservatives and most age categories, except the elderly.
Trump's diverse appeal among Republicans and independents will be tough for Ted Cruz -- who relies principally on religious conservatives and with Rand Paul's departure, libertarians -- to counter beyond southern states. Perhaps not even those places -- he is polling a bad second to Trump in South Carolina.
As for the very moderate Gov. John Kasich -- endorsed in New Hampshire by both the New York Times and Boston Globe -- he devoted enormous resources to that small state. With former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio still in the mix, he won't have the money to mount a successful southern strategy but could do decently enough in many of the 16 states holding contests on or before March 1 to be a kingmaker.
(Excerpt) Read more at tulsaworld.com ...
Ping
Baraq Obama has proven that any ignorant narcissistic liberal can become President.
BRAVO.....you are 100% right
For the general election, I think any other candidate will run a campaign against “an opponent with different political views”. Gun rights. Abortion. Gay marriage. Etc.
They may win on these issues, but a lot of voters with a lot of electors (240 of 270?) disagree with conservatives on issues. And the media is not on the R side (e.g. Candy Crowley - I’d love to see her try some BS with Trump but can’t imagine anything good resulting with Rubio or Bush)
Trump will run a campaign against either “a communist” or “a criminal” - forget the issues (us Trump supports already know we cannot care about purity or across-the-board stances). The media will be working 24/7 to prove that Trump’s latest “commie/felon” tweet was wrong - and do nothing more than expose additional voters to the fact that the D candidate is a “commie/felon”.
There are a wide range of opinions on the issues. But a YUGE percentage of voters do not want a communist or criminal in the white house.
Trump’s greatest strength is his ability to self-indentify. All the media in the world will not be able to label him as has happened with other Republican candidates. Trump’s biggest challenge is not the general election, it is the rest of the primary where, in the end, all the other candidates have the same goal of not allowing a non-donor-controlled candidate to get the nomination. The closer to the nomination the uglier it gets.
The Cheap Labor Express started this campaign with 15 of 17 candidates.
Many of their candidates have dropped out.
It is down to Yeb!, Memorizer Bunny and Kasuck.
Every Presidential election since the last amnesty they have managedto stick us with an amnesty candidate.
Not this time.
Translation: To help the GOPe rob the nomination from Trump or Cruz.
SC is an elimination round. The amnesty stooge with the fewest votes will be ordered to drop out.
Bye bye, Kasich, bye bye.
Well we all know at this point that absent an alien abduction Trump is going to be the GOP nominee. The polls show the GOP voters coalescing around Trump.
Its time to stop the senseless attacks that are blatantly untrue and look at the great opportunity we have to win the Whitehouse and start to turn the country around.
Ted Cruz was never going to be the GOP nominee. If Trump had not gotten in it Jeb Bush would be leading along with Rubio and Cruz would be a distant third.
I agree.
And Rubio and Cruz are young guys, they won’t be prime POTUS age for another 3 or 4 campaign cycles.
This is good experience.
Neither Cruz or Rubio are eligible for POTUS.
Yes I don’t think these 40 somethings with less than a full term in the Senate have the experience or judgement to be the leader of the Free World. Voters including me want a mature adult in the Whitehouse.
We don't know that at all. This time four years ago, Rick Santorum was leading the polls. In fact, Santorum's numbers then were actually higher than where Trump's are today. So I reject your notion that Trump is going to be the nominee because the polls show it.
Its time to stop the senseless attacks that are blatantly untrue
I have posted nothing about Trump that is untrue. Not a single thing. Deny Trump's words and positions at your own risk.
If Trump had not gotten in it Jeb Bush would be leading along with Rubio and Cruz would be a distant third.
This defies reason. Are you really making the case that the reason Cruz is leading Bush and Rubio now is because of Donald Trump, that somehow he has convinced Rubio and Bush supporters to switch their support to Ted Cruz? Really?
Look the internals of the polls are telling you something you don’t want to hear or accept. All demographics are flowing to Trump.
Tens of thousands of people are not standing in hours long lines and waiting to hear Trump for entertainment. They are going to vote for him. This is a movement.
Rick Santorum never had the kind of support in 2012 that Trump has. Newt handily won SC. If Mitt Romney hadn’t spend $20 million in negative ads in Fl Newt would have won FL but he did not have the money to compete . Trump is not handicapped by lack of funds.
This nomination process is going to wrap up pretty quickly going forward in the next 6 weeks. If you don’t start to accept it your head will blow off.
No one with an unfavorability rating over 50% has ever been elected President. Trump sits at 60%. As for the polls, how can you say that a Trump win is inevitable based on his position in the polls while at the same time making excuses for Santorum not winning four years ago even though his poll numbers were better than Trump’s? It defies reason.
The newest poll shows Trump’s favorability at 67% so you are behind the curve on this stuff. I know its hard to accept that your guy isn’t going to make it but at this point its all over but the shouting. That’s why you are seeing a more subdued discussion on FR than you were a week ago. Most people are figuring it out.
I have no further motivation to put Cruz down as I see him already pretty much behind the eight ball at this point. He has a senate job to go back to so its not like he will be back on the street. He likely has blown the AG job by his dirty trix and attacks on Trump. Too bad as he would have been a great AG. I look for Trump to offer Christie that job now.
Trump’s prospects for winning the GOP nomination may look better than Santorum’s did at this point. But his prospect for winning in November does not. Note also that Trump got a lower percentage of the NH vote than Romney got in 2012.
What poll? Do you have a link for that?
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