This isn’t going to be an Afghan War.
The Turks have aircraft and armor to match the Russians for the most part. And in great numbers.
This will be modern mechanized warfare between well matched opponents.
The Russians have many tactical nukes. They won’t lose.
The Russians have manpower enough to completely nullify Turkey. They also have natural resources out the wazoo and a nasty ‘no prisoners’ attitude.
With tactical nukes to follow perhaps.
Turkey is no match if it turns unrestricted.