Cruz vs Bernie:
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Sanders (D)
|
Cruz (R)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/16 - 2/4 | -- | -- | 43.5 | 42.0 | Sanders +1.5 |
| Quinnipiac | 2/2 - 2/4 | 1125 RV | 2.9 | 46 | 42 | Sanders +4 |
| Quinnipiac | 12/16 - 12/20 | 1140 RV | 2.9 | 43 | 44 | Cruz +1 |
| PPP (D) | 12/16 - 12/17 | 1267 RV | 2.8 | 41 | 42 | Cruz +1 |
| Quinnipiac | 11/23 - 11/30 | 1473 RV | 2.6 | 49 | 39 | Sanders +10 |
| PPP (D) | 11/16 - 11/17 | 1360 RV | 2.7 | 39 | 44 | Cruz +5 |
| McClatchy/Marist | 10/29 - 11/4 | 540 RV | 4.2 | 51 | 39 | Sanders +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/29 - 11/2 | 1144 RV | 2.9 | 44 | 45 | Cruz +1 |
Trump vs Bernie:
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE |
Sanders (D)
|
Trump (R)
|
Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RCP Average | 12/16 - 2/4 | -- | -- | 48.0 | 40.3 | Sanders +7.7 |
| Quinnipiac | 2/2 - 2/4 | 1125 RV | 2.9 | 49 | 39 | Sanders +10 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 1/9 - 1/13 | 800 RV | 3.5 | 54 | 39 | Sanders +15 |
| Quinnipiac | 12/16 - 12/20 | 1140 RV | 2.9 | 51 | 38 | Sanders +13 |
| PPP (D) | 12/16 - 12/17 | 1267 RV | 2.8 | 41 | 43 | Trump +2 |
| Quinnipiac | 11/23 - 11/30 | 1473 RV | 2.6 | 49 | 41 | Sanders +8 |
| FOX News | 11/16 - 11/19 | 1016 RV | 4.0 | 41 | 46 | Trump +5 |
| PPP (D) | 11/16 - 11/17 | 1360 RV | 2.7 | 41 | 44 | Trump +3 |
| McClatchy/Marist | 10/29 - 11/4 | 540 RV | 4.2 | 53 | 41 | Sanders +12 |
| Quinnipiac | 10/29 - 11/2 | 1144 RV | 2.9 | 46 | 44 | Sanders +2 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 10/25 - 10/29 | 847 RV | 3.4 | 50 | 41 | Sanders +9 |
| CNN/ORC | 10/14 - 10/17 | 956 RV | 3.0 | 53 | 44 | Sanders +9 |
| PPP (D) | 10/1 - 10/4 | 1338 RV | 2.7 | 44 | 44 | Tie |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 9/20 - 9/24 | RV | -- | 52 | 36 | Sanders +16 |
| Quinnipiac | 9/17 - 9/21 | 1574 RV | 2.5 | 47 | 42 | Sanders +5 |
| SurveyUSA | 9/2 - 9/3 | 900 RV | 3.3 | 40 | 44 | Trump +4 |
| PPP (D) | 8/28 - 8/30 | 1254 RV | 2.8 | 42 | 43 | Trump +1 |
| Quinnipiac | 8/20 - 8/25 | 1563 RV | 2.5 | 44 | 41 | Sanders +3 |
| Quinnipiac | 7/23 - 7/28 | 1644 RV | 2.4 | 45 | 37 | Sanders +8 |
| CNN/Opinion Research | 7/22 - 7/25 | 898 RV | 3.5 | 59 | 38 | Sanders +21 |
| PPP (D) | 7/20 - 7/21 | 1087 RV | 3.0 | 47 | 37 | Sanders +10 |
CRUZ or Lose.
Too early for these kind of polls. Look what one debate might have done to Rubio.
The difference between 1.5 and 7.7 is very small.