Cruz may get a boost from IA in the Southern primaries, but Trump will also get a boost from his massive win in NH. People tend to remember the most recent event, and that’s NH. Trump is leading Cruz by about 16 points in SC (pre-IA and SC polls), so it will be interesting to see how all this plays out over the coming 10 days. I’m sure that there are pollsters busy in SC at this very minute trying to gauge what impact IA and NH have had. My bet is that Trump will maintain the lead, and win SC by double digits.
What about Texas?
Trump will do well in the south, but I’m expecting a few states to go to Cruz.
Do we know if this money spend included PACs? Cruz has a big one.