I didn't even do my own math, which would have removed "very conservative" voters from Christi and other candidates, since they weren't all filled up with moderates. And if we don't do that, your best scenario only has Trump losing by 2 points-- where we assume his numbers do not change at all as 4 or 5 people drop out.
So please do not misrepresent what I'm telling you to save your irrational point of view here.
Do the Cruz supporters bolt for Trump? Unlikely; Trump is poison on the social issues and big-government activist on economics
This is a ridiculous and baseless assertion. Trump dominated with the most conservative voters in New Hampshire. Why would the remaining numbers be shy about voting for Trump? You are basically assuming that every single one of these voters are CruzBots who actually buy the BS from team Cruz about Trump secretly being for abortion and the like.
In the real world, they will be voting for Trump.
No, I don’t think that 100 percent of the non-Trump voters will automatically move to someone else. But neither do I think that all the present Trump voters will stay put either once a real race emerges. A lot of Trump’s support is from people who just want to be with a winner.