Trump's lead in New Hampshire was as much as 2nd and 3rd place combined. Maybe as much as 2nd, 3rd and 4th place combined. Even Carson was gone with only 2 percent, and Saint Rafael still could barely top Bush by more than a few hundred votes.
Trump’s lead in New Hampshire was largely from the 45 percent of primary voters who were not Republicans. He continues to pull in LIV and crossover Democrat voters, much more liberal than the Republican base. There are two disparate groups in Trump’s coalition: mad as hell Republicans who are willing to gamble that he is indeed a born-again conservative, and the liberal newcomers who see Trump as a decisive break with the traditional Republican coalition. One of these two groups is in for a nasty surprise.