With a 11% lead? Not hardly.
Iowa picks losers, just ask Huckabee and Santorum and Mondale.
Besides you’ve forgotten already the dirty tactics of lying and intimidation by the holier-than-thou dirty politician.
No proven impact on the outcome, but thanks for playing.
Iowa has picked the last five Dem nomination winners in a row... on the GOP side, they picked W in 2000, W ran unopposed in '04, (in '08 they picked Huck incorrectly), and in '12 Mitt finished within 33 votes out of 122,000... not exactly a "fail"... so that's 8 of the last 9 nominees they got correct.