Yes, I think if Trump majorly underperforms in NH he’s in trouble.
if Cruz isn’t in top 3, he’s in trouble.
Rubio comes in behind any of the other establishment candidates, he’s in trouble.
Cruz will probably do better in strong red states, so a bad performance in NH doesn’t kill him, but it doesn’t help. He comes in a low number in NH, and then misses the top 3 in SC... I think its going to be hard for him to come back.
If Trump doesn’t score a solid undeniable win, not a squeaker, but a strong strong win by SC at the latest, Super Tuesday gets a log more interesting as well.
If it is a close 4th, don’t think too much trouble. I’m going to S. Carolina to join Cruz’s ground game next week. I will let you know.