I’ll take another tack. Looking at the votes, Carson got about 17,000. People are trying to say that over 6,000 potential Carson voters switched. So everyone is saying that 1 out of every 4 Carson voters switched to Cruz because of this? That’s BS. I would be surprised if more than 100 people switched votes as a result.
There are over 1600 precincts ... It is logical and reasonable to assert that at least 1 Carson supporter in every precinct was swayed to switch their vote to Cruz. It is also reasonable to assume more than one, if both Cruz and Carson held attraction for evangelicals, and Cruz had 1500 precinct captains (that we are told of) who were all simultaneous sent the erroneous message of Carson’s dropping out.