And this: Yeah BUT: Cruz won't have them in NH or SC.
Is that suggesting that there are no Christians living in either of those states? Is that kind like calling them STUPID......
That didn't work in Iowa, but keep up the name calling and don't be surprised what NH and SC think of those insults, worked so well in Iowa. But hey, I don't want to be the one to tell you what to do. go for it.
Cruz also won in very upscale suburban neighborhoods where Evangelicals keep a low profile.
No one suggesting there are no evangelicals in NH or SC, they are in every state, but they aren’t in such numbers.. IA they are 60% of the electorate... so while Cruz got a lot of them, he didn’t get all of them.
The rest of the states don’t have that many, and if that’s where Cruz got the bulk of his Iowa support from, then he won’t do is well in other states, simply because there aren’t as many of them in other states.
I don’t hate anyone, but frankly what I do hate, is how ever 4 years this place turns into a nuthouse as folks go insane for this or that candidate.
Ideologically I like Cruz, but my analysis tells me he’s the weakest general election candidate of the lot. Trump will cross over and pull democrats and blue collar independents that Cruz has no shot at. Trump can break the EC firewall that the Dems have created in the upper midwest, mid atlantic and north east... Cruz and Rubio can not.
I congratulate Cruz on his win in IA, but I don’t think it changes much of the long game. I’ve said many times here, I fully expected Trmump to lose Iowa, the Caucus format itself favors the tranditional/establishment politician over an outsider.
IA also has a history of picking the most evangelical candidate, and history held true last night as well. A win in IA for Trump would have been a massive upset, and him scoring as well as he did in a caucus format, shows very solid support, regardless of what the pundits will say. Rubio tried to turn himself into the second coming and still could not take out the New Yorker who has never claimed to be an evangelical in his life.
Politically Rubio was the big winner last night as far as I see it, like it or not, he now has the ability to argue that he is the one and only establishment candidate, and that that is where the establishment money should go, and that the other yahoos should withdraw and endorce him.
Will it change the long game? I don’t think so. NH will be the bellweather on where this thing is going to go. Cruz or Rubio win NH, then there is a strong argument that Trump may be done... but if Trump performs as polls suggest in a state with standard balloting, then he runs the table.
Its politics, so anything can happen... Just a week to see if IA changed anything in the long game.