Oh, I’m backing Trump, but if Cruz wins the nomination, we should back him against the Socialist/Communist candidate. I can’t hack Rubio too much but even he would be better than what the Dems prop up.
That said, here's the recent Iowa Record of who they picked and who went on to win:
Here is Iowa’s track Record:
1976 (January 19): Gerald Ford (45%) and Ronald Reagan (43%)Iowa has a great knack for picking candidates that go on to lose. The exception is GW Bush - after the Clinton Scandals with with benefit of the Bush name and the idea that he was conservative.
1980 (January 21): George H. W. Bush (32%), Ronald Reagan (30%), Howard Baker (15%), John Connally (9%), Phil Crane (7%), John B. Anderson (4%), and Bob Dole (2%) 1984 (February 20): Ronald Reagan (unopposed)
1988 (February 8): Bob Dole (37%), Pat Robertson (25%), George H. W. Bush (19%), Jack Kemp (11%), and Pete DuPont (7%)
1992 (February 10): George H. W. Bush (unopposed)
1996 (February 12): Bob Dole (26%), Pat Buchanan (23%), Lamar Alexander (18%), Steve Forbes (10%), Phil Gramm (9%), Alan Keyes (7%), Richard Lugar (4%), and Morry Taylor (1%)
2000 (January 24): George W. Bush (41%), Steve Forbes (31%), Alan Keyes (14%), Gary Bauer (9%), John McCain (5%), and Orrin Hatch (1%)
2004 (January 19): George W. Bush (unopposed)
2008 (January 3): Mike Huckabee (34%), Mitt Romney (25%), Fred Thompson (13%), John McCain (13%), Ron Paul (10%), Rudy Giuliani (4%), and Duncan Hunter (1%)
2012 (January 3): Rick Santorum (25%), Mitt Romney (25%), Ron Paul (21%), Newt Gingrich (13%), Rick Perry (10%), Michele Bachmann (5%), and Jon Huntsman (0.6%)
2016 (February 1): Ted Cruz (27.7%), Donald Trump (24.3%), Marco Rubio (23.1%), Ben Carson (9.3%), Rand Paul (4.5%), Jeb Bush (2.8%), Carly Fiorina, John Kasich, Mike Huckabee, and Chris Chritie each had 2% of the vote, Rick Santorum had 1%, and Jim Gilmore had 0%.
The lesson appears to be that the message that appeals in Iowa doesn't resonate with the rest of the country.