He is not a likely winner.
That is just bull. The 2016 Super Tuesday will be held on March 1 with a certainty of Trump gaining ground.
Winners-take-most states are those with proportional allocation and a 15 percent or 20 percent threshold to qualify for delegates. Strictly proportional states have proportional allocations with either no thresholds or low ones—typically, 5 percent or 10 percent (Iowa).Georgia, a winners-take-most state with a 20 percent threshold, illustrates the formidable obstacles the establishment candidates face. Only Trump, with 39 percent, and Cruz, with 29 percent, would qualify for delegates, splitting the state's 76 delegates between them. So far, none of the establishment candidates are close to meeting Georgia's 20 percent threshold.
The Georgia scenario will play out in six states holding primaries on March 1, otherwise known as the SEC Primary. These six states—Alabama, Arkansas, Georgia, Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas—will allocate 422 delegates by winners-take-most rules, and all are conservative states in which establishment candidates will likely struggle to meet the thresholds.
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The odds makers sure don’t see Trump winning now.
What do you see that they don’t?
Its all been blown open, and the media are no longer shilling for Trump, they have shifted to GOPe Rubio.
Trump should have jumped back to Dem before the caucus, as he had originally planned to do.
His bridges are gone, and so are his trail markers.
He is going to be seething in anger for a while.
Anyway, the “front runner Trump” myth has been farted away.
Good riddance; let logic prevail, and recognize the rhetorical victory for Rush Limbaugh. When you run with a conservative, you win.
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